Something I have noticed with some amusement is the conjunction in utterances by Western talking heads of the conviction that they know exactly what Putin wants with the admission that they haven't a clue what he wants.
Reading what he says and watching what he does is apparently out of the question.
Here's NATO commander Breedlove in April as an example. Just for fun I invite you all to read through thickets of impenetrable prose to find more examples of we know but we don't know.
He knows what Putin wants
He doesn't know what Putin wants
Poor old Breedlove, wakes up to find Russia's locked down Syria while he busy was keeping it out of Estonia.
PS if he can't bear to read what Putin actually says, here's a piece in Newsweek (of all places) from last December that might have helped him be less surprised "The rise of ISIS confirms what Moscow has long said to the West: Backing Assad’s opponents will lead to state collapse and jihadism."