Sikorski understands the entire rationale he advocates for the defence of Poland makes no sense, not on the eastern frontier, nor in Ukraine, because the Russians can’t be deterred from doing what they have no intention of doing any way
As intelligence agencies must, after a mole, security breach, hacking, or leak has exposed state secrets, they re-read and re-interpret their archives to determine when the penetration started and the extent of the damage. US intelligence reassessments today of the extent of Russian penetration in the recent past aren’t the only ones. French and German counter-intelligence agents are also hard at work reviewing their official and political records, the public ones and also the secret ones.
The Polish intelligence services -- the ABW (internal), the AW (external), and the SKW (counter-intelligence) -- have been hard at work, too. According to sources in Warsaw, a review is under way of the case of Radoslaw Sikorski (lead image, right). He served as Poland’s Defence Minister between 2005 and 2007; Foreign Minister from 2005 to September 22, 2014; and Marshal of the Sejm (Parliament Speaker) between September 24, 2014, and June 23, 2015.
On February 21, 2014, in Kiev, Sikorski joined the German and French foreign ministers in signing a domestic peace pact with the President of Ukraine, Victor Yanukovich, and three opposition party leaders. That was hours before Yanukovich was toppled in a US-planned putsch, and forced to flee for his life to Russia. That morning Sikorski appeared to be telling Yanukovich’s domestic opponents, led by Arseny Yatseniuk, that if they didn’t join Yanukovich in signing the pact, “you’ll all be dead”. Sikorski was speaking in English – to whom isn’t clear but it wasn’t the signatories. Read what Sikorski, Yatseniuk and the others signed a few minutes later in the official German Foreign Ministry text here. Watch Sikorski’s mouth moving in one direction, his eyes in another, as he announced that if the Ukrainian opposition did not sign, “you’ll all be dead”.
Politically speaking, Sikorski is now as dead as everyone else whose signatures appear on the February 21 paper. His last two jobs were terminated by his political superiors in Warsaw. He remains under investigation by Polish state prosecutors for official expense claims when he was foreign minister; and by the Sejm for failing to file accurate annual income statements for himself and his wife. Details can be read here.
On September 9, 2015, weeks after he had lost his parliament post, Sikorski gave a 26-minute interview with the German state broadcast organ, Deutsche Welle. That was, he said himself at the close of the recording, his return to public life. The full interview can be watched here.
Attracting retrospective attention today are three admissions Sikorski made: the first, that it is “not very likely that Poland will be invaded [by Russia] at all”. The second, that he doesn’t believe the US and the NATO alliance will go to war with Russia, if it did invade Poland. The third, that “I hope that our allies in future keep their secrets”. This last one is Sikorski’s reference to the disclosure in the US of secret Central Intelligence Agency rendition and torture operations which the Polish Government allowed on its territory, and took large cash payments for. Sikorski hinted that he was also hoping the US, German and the British secret services will keep secret what they know about Sikorski.
But what do the allied western services know about him, and what secrets is Sikorski saying he hopes they will keep off camera, off mike and under wraps for him?
The biggest secret of all Sikorski let out of the bag to Deutsche Welle -- that he understands the entire rationale he advocates for the defence of Poland makes no sense, not on the eastern frontier, nor in Ukraine, because the Russians can’t be deterred from doing what they have no intention of doing any way. The corollary of this acknowledgement of Sikorski’s is that NATO escalation on Polish territory in a no-Russian threat scenario may be the occasion for the Russian interpretation that NATO is threatening to attack Russia. Perhaps Sikorski is implying, as he looked askance from the interviewer, that if Russia isn’t Poland’s real threat, Germany might be.
Or is asking these questions Sikorski’s move in the Bamboozle Game? That’s the one where governments are tipped by their adversaries into confusion, their leaders incapable of telling the difference between information, misinformation and disinformation, and so unable to decide anything or talk straight. Today the agents of the Bamboozle Game are everywhere. In Warsaw, in September 2015, Sikorski was the harbinger.
So, if the Russian secret services (likewise the British, Germans, French, Chinese, Israelis, Americans) are capable of penetrating the innermost political recesses of the NATO alliance states and its leading personnel, have they penetrated Sikorski himself?
Listen carefully to what Sikorski is saying; then ask yourself, as if you were a counter-intelligence expert, who is bamboozling whom? Is Sikorski also telling us that if we don’t do what he wants, we are all dead?